As
I walk along the plethora of luxury goods stores in the city, I occasionally
see queues to enter these stores. I must admit that I am not a fan of luxury
handbags, shoes, etc. One day, I was curious about their prices, so I went in
to browse and to check on prices. As an example for my analysis, I decided to
repeat this each year.
So,
here it is…
In
2019, the item’s value was $28K and it increases by 7.3% on average each year.
Table 1 |
Item's value |
Add 7.30% |
2019 |
$ 28,000.00 |
$ 2,044.00 |
2020 |
$ 30,044.00 |
$ 2,193.21 |
2021 |
$ 32,237.21 |
$ 2,353.32 |
2022 |
$ 34,590.53 |
$ 2,525.11 |
2023 |
$ 37,115.64 |
$ 2,709.44 |
2024 |
$ 39,825.08 |
$ 2,907.23 |
2025 |
$ 42,732.31 |
Inflation
is roughly 5% on average each year.
Table 2 |
Inflation |
Add 5.00% |
2019 |
$ 28,000.00 |
$ 1,400.00 |
2020 |
$ 29,400.00 |
$ 1,470.00 |
2021 |
$ 30,870.00 |
$ 1,543.50 |
2022 |
$ 32,413.50 |
$ 1,620.68 |
2023 |
$ 34,034.18 |
$ 1,701.71 |
2024 |
$ 35,735.88 |
|
2025 |
Total increase due to inflation |
$ 7,735.88 |
If
you do not purchase the item and have the $28K, it can offset your mortgage at
roughly 4.5% per annum.
if
you purchased the item on a loan with a 4.5% interest rate per annum, the
repayment would be approximately $6K each year over 5 years, the total cost
would be roughly $31,488.56 by 2024/2025.
Table 3 |
Payments |
Interest |
Principal |
Balance |
2019 |
$ 0.00 |
$ 0.00 |
$ 0.00 |
$ 28,000.00 |
2020 |
$ 6,000.00 |
$ 1,161.01 |
$ 4,838.99 |
$ 23,161.01 |
2021 |
$ 6,000.00 |
$ 938.70 |
$ 5,061.30 |
$ 18,099.71 |
2022 |
$ 6,000.00 |
$ 706.19 |
$ 5,293.81 |
$ 12,805.90 |
2023 |
$ 6,000.00 |
$ 462.99 |
$ 5,537.01 |
$ 7,268.89 |
2024 |
$ 6,000.00 |
$ 208.62 |
$ 5,791.38 |
$ 1,477.51 |
2025 |
$ 1,488.56 |
$ 11.05 |
$ 1,477.51 |
$ 0.00 |
Total |
$ 31,488.56 |
$ 3,488.56 |
$ 28,000.00 |
$ 0.00 |
Conclusion:
In
2024, if the item is an investment/unworn and has a resale value, it can
possibly be sold at the same price or slightly less due to various factors.
Table 4 |
Amount |
From Table 1 - Shop sells at |
$ 39,825.08
|
From Table 3 - Total spent |
-$ 31,488.56 |
Profit |
$ 8,336.52 |
|
|
From Table 1 - In 2019, item was purchased at |
$ 28,000.00
|
From Table 3 - Total spent |
-$ 31,488.56 |
Spent on interest |
-$
3,488.56 |
If the item was purchased as an
investment outright without any loan in 2019, and assuming the item can
be sold at the same price as the store’s in 2024 then, the value of $28K will
be $ 39,825.08 (table 1). This is an approximate profit of $11K and $4K greater
than the inflation value of $ 35,735.88 (table 2).
If the item was purchased as an
investment with
a loan,
and assuming the item can be sold at the same price
as the store’s in 2024 then,
there is a potential for breakeven with inflation. i.e., Inflation value is $35,735.88
(table 2) in 2024 vs 2024 proceeds from sale at $36,336.52 ($28K plus profit of
8,336.52 from table 4).
If
the item was not purchased, with the funds offsetting a mortgage, then
$3,488.56 (table 4) can be saved on the loan interest payments.
So,
which options would you choose?
Purchasing
this item can be achieved through proper financial planning that ties in with
your budget including a forecast across all financial scope. Please refer to ‘Bring
Me Wealth Please’ <https://www.austinmacauley.com/book/bring-me-wealth-please> for detailed knowledge
and step-by-step instructions.
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